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Rising Tide Doesn't Lift All Boats
Top Specialty Contractors Face
Rocky Economic Waters
by Jason Feldman
The economic news is indeed picking up for much of the nation,
and the New York area is finally showing signs of improvement,
but specialty contractors are feeling neglected by the rising
tide.
"We usually lag the general economy by 18 months, and
we are currently at the bottom of the cycle," said Peter
E. MacKenna, president and chief executive officer of Underpinning
and Foundation Skanska Inc., a foundation contractor in Maspeth,
N.Y.
The sentiment was shared by D. Thomas Ruttura, president
of Ruttura & Sons Construction in Farmingdale, N.Y. "I
think that my prediction has come true," he said. Ruttura
predicted last year that a lot of specialty contractors will
be forced out of business because of the economic downturn.
"It's a gigantic lack of work, it's going to get tough,"
he added. "I think most specialty contractors are being
hindered by the lack of work. I believe it will be a weeding-out
process."
Frank MacInnis, chairman, president and chief executive officer
of EMCOR Group Inc. in Norwalk, Conn., a network of smaller
specialty contractors, said the business climate is improving,
but slowly.
"The prevailing attitude with respect to private-sector
projects is hesitance and caution," he added. "We
know there are projects but our customers are very cost-conscious."
Legislative action, or the lack of it, is contributing to
the slowdown of work in the electrical industry, MacInnis
said. "There remains a significant uncertainty in the
deregulation process even prior to the Enron fiasco,"
he said. "There are numerous regulatory hurdles for new
and improved transmission lines as well as rights and privileges
that need to be worked out before investment can begin, and
I don't see it happening before the next (presidential) election."
Coupled with the lack of work is the old complaint that the
subcontractors are not getting paid on time.
Ron Berger, executive director of the Subcontractors Trade
Association Inc., said, "It's just everyone is building
with someone else's money."
The payment cycle is always slow, added Jeffery Haber, president,
W&W Glass Systems Inc. in Nanuet, N.Y. "If they are
not questioning your paperwork, they are questioning something
else," he added. "It starts with the owners and
goes to the contractors." However, with the passage of
a prompt-payment bill in New York, delayed payments seem to
be somewhat alleviated. The bill, which gives general contractors
12 days to approve or decline a bill and also gives subcontractors
the power to walk off the jobsite with 10 days notice, has
helped subcontractors. The bill does not affect public work,
which has its own set of laws, Berger said.
And then there are the insurance bills.
"Insurance is still a big problem," Berger added.
"General liability insurance has gone up 10 times, and
in some areas you can't even get it."
Haber said his firm's liability insurance "has gone
through the roof" because of Sept. 11.
Berger blamed the problem on the state's "scaffold law,"
which holds every company to absolute liability for an injured
worker. "A company can't even defend itself against the
claim, and that is causing the industry a tremendous amount
of money," he added.
Berger said his membership does not want to repeal the law,
but said that a simple negligence standard can be added to
ease the burden. "If a worker was drunk on the job or
refused to wear safety equipment, that should be taken into
consideration," he said.
Haber said his company maintains a well-educated workforce
with safety training, up-to-date equipment and holding workers
to a strict hardhat requirement. "These things help keep
our exposure to risk low, and the little things help in terms
of insurance," he added. "It's an investment in
the bottom line."
One other insurance problem that might harm any construction
recovery is that terrorist insurance runs out in 2005. "If
something does not replace it, there will be major problems,"
Berger said.
While insurance prices continue to jump, the cost of the
basic ingredients of construction, steel and concrete has
been driven up as well.
"We are hearing that the prices of raw materials have
gotten so expensive that they are deterring new construction,"
said Mike Feder, sales manager for Infra-Metals, a structural
steel service center in Wallingford, Conn. "It's not
just steel prices that have gone up in the past five or six
months."
Ruttura added that the price of concrete "is going out
of sight. Even though 60 percent of the cement the United
States uses is produced domestically, a lot of [the manufacturers]
are owned by foreign companies, and they are shipping the
cement overseas where they can make more money."
Prices of scrap steel have also skyrocketed. "People
are blaming the Chinese for buying all of the scrap steel,"
Feder said.
MacInnis added that the Chinese demand for oil and raw materials,
steel in particular, goes hand in hand with the decimation
of the U.S. steel industry.
Although prices seem to have hit a plateau, MacKenna said
factors other than market forces drove up steel prices. "In
the last year we have seen fuel prices go up 22 percent,"
he added.
And Ruttura said, "I don't see a dollar per gallon of
fuel anymore, and for guys like us, who burn a lot of fuel
because we have a lot of equipment, it will hurt."
Fuel price increases have not hit EMCOR significantly, MacInnis
said. "EMCOR is at an advantage in the current market,
in that we are a small contracts company running 3,000 individual
contracts at a time. What this means is we can make more frequent
assumptions in our cost for estimating."
Most contractors are working through the slowdown and costs
increases, and they are cautiously optimistic for the future.
"I see it improving with the development of Lower Manhattan,"
Berger said. "I'm waiting to see what happens with the
school construction, which could be worth $13 billion over
the next five years. There also is Jets Stadium and the extension
of the No. 7 subway line. I see a lot of good things, but
who knows if they are going to happen. There is no guarantee."
MacKenna said all of the proposed projects "involve
our specialty, but it is hard to know if they will happen."
Ruttura was more pessimistic. "I think most of these
jobs are a couple of years away, and most contractors will
self-perform most of the work," he said. "These
isolated projects will not help us. They will help a couple
of big contractors."
If anything, most specialty contractors seem to agree that
if New York City is selected as the host city for the 2012
Olympics, it will be a huge boon for the construction industry.
The International Olympics Committee will select the city
in July 2005.
"If we get the Olympics, that could be an additional
$10 billion to $12 billion in additional work," Berger
said.
And MacKenna added, "I am a New York jingoist. I look
at the skyline from the river and think that we deserve the
Olympics."
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